ANI
10 Oct 2019, 18:07 GMT+10
New Delhi [India], Oct 10 (ANI): India Ratings and Research (Ind-Ra) on Thursday revised its forecast of India's gross domestic product (GDP) growth in current financial year downward to 6.1 per cent following the Central Statistical Organisation (CSO) estimating Q1 growth to be 5 per cent, much lower than Ind-Ra's estimate of 5.7 per cent.
This is Ind-Ra's second downward revision. The agency revised its GDP growth estimate to 6.7 per cent from its earlier forecast of 7.3 per cent as recently as in August.
Although Ind-Ra had cited a slowdown in both urban and rural consumption demand growth as one of the key reasons for the downward revision of the GDP in its August 2019 forecast, the CSO's first-quarter estimate shows that the slowdown has been much sharper than Ind-Ra's expectation.
It crumbled to 3.1 per cent in Q1 FY20 as compared to 7.2 per cent a quarter ago and 7.3 per cent a year ago. The GDP growth in H1 FY20 is likely to be 5.2 per cent. Ind-Ra expects it to recover to 6.9 per cent in H2 FY20, mainly on account of the base effect.
The slowdown in consumption demand is reflected in the Reserve Bank of India's consumer confidence index as well which declined to 89.4 in September 2019 (July 2019: 95.7).
The other key indicators that have worsened lately are aggregate capacity utilisation declining to 73.6 per cent, banking credit to commercial sector turning negative at Rs 1.28 lakh crore and non-banking credit to commercial sector falling to Rs 2.19 lakh crore. (ANI)Get a daily dose of India Gazette news through our daily email, its complimentary and keeps you fully up to date with world and business news as well.
Publish news of your business, community or sports group, personnel appointments, major event and more by submitting a news release to India Gazette.
More InformationFRANKLIN, Tennessee: Hundreds of thousands of Nissan and Infiniti vehicles are being recalled across the United States due to a potential...
REDMOND, Washington: Microsoft is the latest tech giant to announce significant job cuts, as the financial strain of building next-generation...
LONDON UK - U.S. stock markets were closed on Friday for Independence Day. Global Forex Markets Wrap Up Friday with Greeback Comeback...
SANTA CLARA, California: Nvidia came within a whisker of making financial history on July 3, briefly surpassing Apple's all-time market...
SACRAMENTO, California: California's multibillion-dollar farms are facing a growing crisis—not from drought or pests, but from a sudden...
WASHINGTON, D.C.: President Donald Trump says the United States could soon reach a trade deal with India. He believes this deal would...
WASHINGTON, D.C.: President Donald Trump says the United States could soon reach a trade deal with India. He believes this deal would...
Buenos Aires [Argentina], July 6 (ANI): Prime Minister Narendra Modi was on Saturday conferred with the Key to the City of Buenos Aires...
(Photo credit: Rick Scuteri-Imagn Images) Ryne Nelson retired the first 16 batters he faced, Randal Grichuk homered and the host...
Buenos Aires [Argentina], July 6 (ANI): Prime Minister Narendra Modi and Argentine President Javier Milei discussed enhancing collaboration...
Buenos Aires [Argentina], July 6 (ANI): The Ministry of External Affairs on Saturday (local time) emphasised India's great interest...
Chennai (Tamil Nadu) [India], July 6 (ANI): Launching a scathing attack on the Centre, Tamil Nadu Chief Minister MK Stalin said the...